October 12, 2015
By
Mark Terry
, BioSpace.com Breaking News Staff
Analysts and investors love to
speculate
on big mergers and acquisitions, but rumors that
Novartis AG
and
Roche
might merge into a huge European-based drug company have been
waved away
by company executives.
Clearly a
Roche
-
NVS
merger is of interest to analysts, because this isn’t the first time the subject has come up, nor is it the first time the company executives have said it won’t happen. Way back in March 2014, Reuters
ran a story
in which outgoing
Roche
Chairman,
Franz Humer
, denied any interest in a merger. When asked if he wanted the two companies to stay independent,
Joerg Reinhardt
, chairman of
Novartis
said, “Absolutely.”
And analysts are asking again. At least part of the reason the subject comes up is that
Novartis
already owns a 33 percent stake in
Roche Holding AG
. “On paper, you can generate a lot of value, that is true,” Reinhardt told Bilanz Business Talk in a recent interview. “Our philosophy is, we want to grow organically.”
Novartis
’s Reinhardt, says, “I would from our perspective, certainly for the foreseeable future, rule out” any large takeovers.
In addition, both companies are near each other, in the city of Basel, Switzerland. And they are, obviously, competitors.
Not that
Novartis
’s strategy is always that easy to understand. In August the company
announced
it was acquiring the remaining rights to Ofatumumab from UK-based
GlaxoSmithKline
for more than $1 billion. The company had bought the rights to the drug earlier for oncology, which is marketed as Arzerra. The new deal was for the rights to develop and market it for multiple sclerosis (MS). The biggest competitor for the drug is
Roche
’s ocrelizumab.
If
Roche
’s ocrelizumab is approved for MS in 2016, it would be on the market in 2017. If
Novartis
manages to develop Ofatumumab for MS, it probably wouldn’t be on the market until 2019.
“It’s a joke,” said
Fabian Wenner
, an analyst at
Kepler Cheuvreux
in Zurich in an interview with Bloomberg Business. “Patients either want better convenience than the old drugs or they want better efficacy, and Ofatumumab is offering neither of those things. The chances of this being successful in MS and generating any sales are zero on my view.”
It’s possible that
Novartis
is looking at “other auto-immune conditions,” for the drug and believes it can expand the uses for the drug beyond cancer and MS, such as systemic lupus erythematosis, rheumatoid arthritis, scleroderma, and type 1 diabetes.
Novartis
also
announced
in January a big three-part deal with
GSK
. In that deal,
GSK
acquired
Novartis
’s vaccine business, except the influenza vaccines, and created a consumer healthcare joint venture. It sold off its oncology portfolio and related research and development activities to Novartis, as well as the rights to two pipeline AKT inhibitors.
Roche
, for its part, is not known for
large acquisitions
with the exception of its 2009 acquisition of
Genentech
for $46.9 billion. It has made numerous smaller acquisitions, such as
Seragon Pharmaceuticals
in 2014 for $725 million, and
Santaris Pharma
for about $250 million. Just last week the company acquired San Francisco-based
Adheron Therapeutics
for up to $580 million.
In a September interview with Reuters,
Severin Schwann
, chief executive officer of
Roche
, said he felt biotechnology was in a “bubble,” which drove up the prices of medium-sized companies. He think the bubble will burst. Although this concern hasn’t kept the company from buying smaller companies, he said of bigger deals, “For us, none of them make sense and when I see this all the time, I am worried that valuations are too high.”