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乳腺癌女性与普通女性相比,被认为容易发生第二癌,包括新的原发乳腺癌以及其他部位的原发癌。第二癌的风险和类型,可能受到首发乳腺癌治疗方法以及人口统计学特征、生活方式和遗传因素(包括可能导致首发乳腺癌的因素)的影响。既往关于第二癌的许多研究往往基于单一机构经验,而其他研究则基于人群。然而,大多数既往研究的规模或持续时间不足以分析这些长期风险的特征或评定患者特征、首发乳腺癌与第二癌风险的关联。乳腺癌康复者和临床医师需要了解第二癌的长期绝对风险,并考虑患者、肿瘤和治疗相关因素。
2025年8月27日,国际四大医学期刊之一、创刊于1840年的英国医学会官方期刊《英国医学杂志》在线发表牛津大学、埃克塞特大学、英格兰全国疾病登记中心的研究报告,对1993年至2016年英格兰47.6万例确诊早期乳腺浸润癌女性患者初次手术后发生第二癌的长期风险进行分析。
该人群队列观察研究对英格兰全国癌症登记分析中心定期收集的数据进行筛选,其中1993年1月至2016年12月英格兰登记首发乳腺浸润癌术后年龄20至75岁女性共计47万6373例,随访数据截至2021年10月。主要结局衡量指标包括:与普通人群相比,第二癌(对侧原发乳腺癌和非乳腺第二原发癌)发生率和累积风险,与患者特征、首发肿瘤特征和术后治疗方法的相关性。
结果发现,虽然6万4747例女性发生第二癌,但是与普通人群相比,20年累计风险绝对值相差不大:
非乳腺癌症:13.59%比11.46%(相差2.13个百分点)
对侧乳腺癌:5.55%比2.48%(相差3.07个百分点)
不过,年轻女性与老年女性相比,对侧乳腺癌累计风险绝对值相差较大。
对于不同类型的非乳腺癌症,乳腺癌女性与普通人群相比,20年累计风险绝对值相差最大的是子宫癌和肺癌。乳腺癌女性与普通人群相比,虽然子宫癌、软组织癌、骨关节癌、唾液腺癌和急性白血病的标准化发病率高1.5倍,但是各种非乳腺癌症类型20年累计风险绝对值相差都小于1%。
根据术后治疗对患者进行分类时,放疗后对侧乳腺癌和肺癌风险略增加,内分泌治疗后子宫癌风险略增加、对侧乳腺癌风险略减少,化疗后急性白血病风险略增加。这些与随机对照研究报告结果一致,后者还发现与软组织癌、头颈癌、卵巢癌和胃癌的相关性,而既往研究并未观察到这些相关性。这表明,该队列全部6万4747例第二癌大约仅有2%可能归因于术后治疗,与普通人群相比多出来的1万5813例第二癌大约仅有7%可能归因于术后治疗,而且术后治疗获益大于风险。
因此,该研究结果表明,1993年1月至2016年12月英格兰早期乳腺浸润癌治疗后女性与普通女性相比,20年第二癌累计风险略高。对侧乳腺癌大约占总风险增加的60%,而且年轻女性风险增加较高。术后治疗相关风险较低。
对此,英国癌症患者独立之声组织和牛津大学纳菲尔德人口健康系发表同期观点:患者需要了解早期乳腺癌后第二癌风险。早期乳腺癌患者常常担心治疗后发生第二癌的风险。自从确诊并且治疗以后,患者既担心将来乳腺癌转移的风险,又担心乳腺癌病史和治疗相关疾病的风险,希望临床医师能够提供更多关于这些风险的详细信息。查找关于乳腺癌后发生第二癌风险的详细信息尤其困难,患者从与亲朋好友的交流得知,许多人认为确诊乳腺癌意味着患者可能容易发生其他癌症。现在我们知道,事实并非如此。当患者首次被确诊乳腺癌时,最关心的就是生存。随着时间的推移,发生第二癌的可能性开始让患者更加担心。经验表明,许多乳腺癌患者认为自己发生第二癌的风险比实际高得多。因此,当网络媒体虽然提供关于第二癌的信息,但是并未解释其风险时,患者可能更担心。本研究结果表明,第二癌的风险非常低,这让患者感到安心,值得广泛分享。该研究还表明内分泌治疗的重要性,有助于治疗原发癌并降低再次发生乳腺癌的风险。乳腺癌患者在经历治疗后,希望了解治疗的获益,该研究有助于正确看待治疗的长期风险;例如,患者通常认为放疗增加肺癌的风险,但是实际上该风险增加不到1%。如果现在建议患者接受放疗或药物治疗早期乳腺癌,可以提供将来发生第二癌风险的具体数据,让患者可以立即接受所需的治疗,因为将来可能导致其他癌症的风险很低。一般而言,治疗保护患者避免乳腺癌复发的获益远远超过潜在的负面影响。与患者讨论术后治疗时,临床医师应该提供此类信息。对于患者处于人生最艰难的时期之一,相信该研究结果应该可以给予一些安慰,此时有很多知识需要消化,虽然并非每位患者都想了解全部细节,但是这些信息应该提供给那些想要了解以及之后寻求帮助的患者。风险信息应该随时可以获取,有助于患者规划生活,并提前思考未来。
BMJ. 2025 Aug 27;390:e083975. IF: 42.7
Second cancers in 475000 women with early invasive breast cancer diagnosed in England during 1993-2016: population based observational cohort study.
McGale P, Dodwell D, Challenger A, Cutter D, Williams A, Broggio J, Darby S, Mannu G, Taylor C.
Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford University Hospitals NHS Trust, Oxford, UK; University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK; National Disease Registration Service (NDRS), NHS England, Birmingham, UK.
OBJECTIVE: To describe long term risks of second non-breast primary cancers and contralateral breast cancers among women with early invasive breast cancer after primary surgery.
DESIGN: Population based observational cohort study.
SETTING: Routinely collected data from the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service for England.
PARTICIPANTS: All 476373 women with breast cancer as their first invasive (index) cancer registered in England from January 1993 to December 2016 with follow-up until October 2021.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Rates and cumulative risks of subsequent primary cancers, compared with those occurring in the general population; associations with characteristics of patients, index tumours, and adjuvant treatments.
RESULTS: Although 64747 women developed a second primary cancer, the absolute excess risks compared with risks in the general population were small. By 20 years, 13.6% (95% confidence interval 13.5% to 13.7%) of women had developed a non-breast cancer, 2.1% (2.0% to 2.3%) more than expected in the general population, and 5.6% (5.5% to 5.6%) had developed a contralateral breast cancer, 3.1% (3.0% to 3.2%) more than expected. The absolute excess risk of contralateral breast cancer was greater in younger than in older women. Among specific types of non-breast cancer, the largest 20 year absolute excess risks were for uterine and lung cancers. Although for cancers of the uterus, soft tissue, bones and joints, and salivary glands, as well as acute leukaemias, standardised incidence ratios exceeded those of the general population by a factor of at least 1.5, absolute excess risks at 20 years were <1% for every individual non-breast cancer type. When patients were categorised according to adjuvant treatment, radiotherapy was associated with increased contralateral breast and lung cancer, endocrine therapy with increased uterine cancer (but reduced contralateral breast cancer), and chemotherapy with increased acute leukaemia. These were consistent with effects reported in randomised trials, but positive associations for soft tissue, head and neck, ovarian, and stomach cancers were also identified, and these have not previously been observed in trials. This suggested that approximately 2% of all the 64747 second cancers and 7% of the 15813 excess second cancers in the cohort may be attributable to adjuvant therapies.
CONCLUSIONS: The risk of a second primary cancer in women treated for early invasive breast cancer is slightly higher than for women in the general population. Contralateral breast cancer accounts for around 60% of the overall increase, with higher risks in younger women. The risk associated with adjuvant therapies is small.
PMID: 40865997
DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2024-083975
BMJ. 2025 Aug 27;390:r1584. IF: 42.7
Patients need information on the risk of second cancer after early breast cancer.
MacKenzie M, Stobart H, Dodwell D, Taylor C.
Independent Cancer Patients' Voice (ICPV), London, UK; Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
PMID: 40866002
DOI: 10.1136/bmj.r1584
(来源:SIBCS)
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