Article
作者: Gutierrez Barrios, Alexandro ; Kedhi, Elvin ; Bessonov, Ivan ; Davlouros, Periklis ; Pessah, Gustavo ; Donazzan, Luca ; Quadros, Alexandre ; Roura i Ferrer, Gerard ; Parodi, Guido ; Zimbakov, Zan ; Rodriguez, Alfredo ; Marinucci, Lucia ; Nardin, Matteo ; Gabrielli, Gabriele ; Kochiadakis, George ; Ordonez, Santiago ; Bosa Ojeda, Francisco ; flores rios, Xacobe ; Kanakakis, John ; Kraaijeveld, Adriaan ; Wong Sung Lung, Aaron ; Faurie, Benjamin ; Cercek, Miha ; Fabris, Enrico ; Alexopulos, Dimitrios ; Calmac, Lucian ; Carillo, Xavier ; Versaci, Francesco ; Moreu, Jose ; Menichelli, Maurizio ; Arpad, Lux ; Antti, Ylitalo ; Cirrincione, Giuseppe ; Casella, Gianni ; Rocha, Alex ; Algowhary, Magdy ; Kidawa, Michal ; Díez Gil, José Luis ; Huan LOH, Poay ; Arat Ozkan, Alev ; Bakraceski, Nikola ; C. Oliveira, Dinaldo ; Chor-Cheung Tam, Frankie ; Kao, Hsien-Li ; Vincent, Flavien ; Savonitto, Stefano ; De Luca, Giuseppe ; Uguz, Berat ; Vignali, Luigi ; Kovarnik, Tomas ; Manzo-Silbermann, Stephane ; Mantis, Christos ; Cortese, Giuliana ; T Dirksen, Maurits ; Miličić, Davor ; Lamelas, Pablo ; Di Uccio, Fortunato Scotto ; Lehtola, Heidi ; Lukito, Antonia Anna ; Ugur Mert, Kadir ; Zoni, Rodrigo ; Kala, Petr ; Boccalatte, Marco ; Brum Silveira, Joao Antonio ; Malewski, Marek ; Zilio, Filippo ; Lozano Martínez-Luengas, Inigo ; E Uribe, Carlos ; ten Berg, Jurrien ; Sanchis Fores, Juan ; Kang-yin Lee, Michael ; Saint Joy, Veauthyelau ; Galasso, Gennaro ; Teles, Rui ; Scoccia, Alessandra ; Suryapranata, Harry ; Manuel Becerra-Munoz, Victor ; Paladino, Roberto ; Bachini, Jaun Pablo ; Scheller, Bruno ; de Moura Joaquim, Rodrigo ; Caiazzo, Gianluca ; Burgadha, Mohammed Abed ; Hatice Yamac, Aylin ; Verdoia, Monica ; Arifa Juzar, Dafsah ; Ganyukov, Vladimir ; Pereira, Hélder ; Guiducci, Vincenzo ; Jensen, Lisette Okkels ; Von Birgelen, Clemens ; Arellano-Serrano, Carlos
Background:Several scores have been developed to facilitate risk stratification and early discharge following primary
angioplasty, particularly the Zwolle Risk Score (ZRS). However, validation in large-sized studies is still lacking. Therefore, the
aim of the current study was to validate the use of the ZRS in a contemporary global population, including patients who were
treated during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and enrolled in a large intercontinental observational study.Methods:The ISACS-STEMI COVID-19 is a large-scale retrospective multicenter registry involving primary PCI centers from
Europe, Latin America, South-East Asia, and NorthAfrica, including patients treated from March 1st until June 30th, in 2019 and
2020]. ZRS was calculated for each patient. The patients were additionally categorized according to the following values of the
ZRS [≤3; 4-6; 7-9; ≥10]. Our study outcomes were in-hospital and 30-day mortality. The discriminatory capacity of the ZRS was
assessed by the area under the ROC curve [c statistic] as an index of model performance.Results:Our population is represented by 16084 STEMI patients undergoing mechanical reperfusion enrolled in 109 centers. The
score showed a very good performance in the predicting mortality both in-hospital [AUC=0.83 [0.82-0.85], p<0.0001] and at 30-
day follow-up [AUC=0.82 [0.81-0.84, p<0.0001]. The results were confirmed when the ZRS was separately applied to patients
treated in 2019 and 2020, with good stability across time. ZRS was able to identify a large cohort [n=10672, 66.3%] of low-risk
patients [score ≤3] with a very low mortality rate at 2 days [1%] and between 3 and 10 days [0.7%], with a very good negative
predictive value for in-hospital [98.3%] and 30-day mortality [97.7%], with similar results in 2019 and 2020.Conclusion:This study is the first to demonstrate the good prognostic performance of the ZRS in a large-scale contemporary
global multicenter validation set. Similar results were obtained both in the pre-pandemic and the COVID-19 era. ZRS ≤3 identified
a very low-risk population that could be discharged early, even during the COVID-19 pandemic, with expected advantages in the
availability of hospital beds and nursing staff, costs of medical care, and in-hospital risk of contagion.