November 18, 2015
By
Mark Terry
, BioSpace.com Breaking News Staff
With a probable
Pfizer
-
Allergan
merger
announcement expected next week, activist investor
Dan Loeb
threw a wrench into the gears, tossing out the
idea
of a merger between
Amgen
and
Allergan
. Loeb is the founder of
Third Point
hedge fund and holds a stake in both companies.
Speaking at the
Robin Hood Investors
Conference in New York yesterday, a closed event, several insiders who were there
told
Bloomberg that Loeb “spent most of the presentation praising
Allergan
, which he compared to a baby thrown out with the bathwater during a sell-off in healthcare stocks in August and September.”
It’s not exactly a new area of speculation. Just last week The Financial Times, quoting inside sources,
reported
that
Amgen
, headquartered in Thousand Oaks, Calif., might be in the market to buy a company, potentially in the $10 billion range. That time, focus was on
Amgen
acquiring Cambridge, Mass.-based
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals
.
Other potential targets cited have been
Seattle Genetics, Inc.
,
Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd.
, and
Aspen Pharmacare Ltd.
Back in January, there was speculation that Paris-based
Sanofi SA
was also looking at
Alnylam
.
A year ago, in October 2014, Loeb was
urging
Amgen
to break up into two companies, dubbing them
GrowthCo
and
MatureCo. GrowthCo
would focus on research and development of newer, faster-growing drugs, while
MatureCo
would focus on slower-growth, mature products.
Interestingly, there’s quite a bit of
speculation
that if the
Pfizer-Allergan
deal did come together, it would only be a year or so before the mega-company split into two, one for mature drugs, the other for the research-and-development-based faster growing drugs.
Amgen
does have a problem. Primarily it revolves around biosimilar competition and the lost off patent protection. On March 6, the
U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
approved the first biosimilar,
Novartis AG
’s Zarxio, a biosimilar of
Amgen
’s Neupogen. In October,
Amgen
’s Neulasta lost its U.S. patent protection, and its European patent ends in 2017. The company’s Epogen lost patent protection in 2014.
According to
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
filing,
Third Point
increased its stake in both
Amgen
and
Allergan
in the third quarter. As of September 30,
Amgen
is
Third Point
’s second-largest investment and
Allergan
is it’s third largest. Loeb, as reported by Bloomberg, said a merger between the two would lead to strong growth and have multiple cost synergies.
One of the reasons Loeb was calling for a split last year had to do with
Amgen
’s acquisition of
Onyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
in 2013. As part of that buy, it acquired
Kyprolis
. Initially Kyprolis was slow to gain traction in the market, but in this year’s third quarter, the drug showed a 46 percent year-over-year sales increase. This rather undercut Loeb’s argument and gave Amgen a reason to jump back into the merger-and-acquisition
market
that’s been so active this year.
So will an
Allergan-Amgen
merger happen? It seems unlikely, with the
Allergan-Pfizer
talks so active recently. If those were to fall apart or if
Amgen
were to make a competitive bid, it’s possible, although insiders are indicating that the
Pfizer
merger is completely dependent on
Allergan
’s
Brent Saunders
taking over as chief executive officer. Loeb apparently also said an
Allergan-Pfizer
deal makes sense, and from a tax point of view it seems completely beneficial to
Pfizer
, which would be able to shift its tax domicile to low-corporate-tax country Ireland.
Investors seemed to like the idea, with
Amgen
bumping up from $151.55 per share on Friday, Nov. 13, to a current share price of $158.49. Loeb’s comments aren’t necessary the source of the increase, however. Shares traded on Sept. 28 for $132.24, then jumped to $161.88 on Nov. 4. This year’s high was on July 31, when shares traded for $176.59.