Aquatic plants are essential to the foundation of lake ecosystems; however, some lakes are experiencing issues due to abnormal overgrowth of submerged macrophytes.To investigate the factors driving such outbreaks, we conducted long-term monitoring using environmental DNA (eDNA), focusing on Potamogeton pusillus and Stuckenia pectinata in Lake Shinji, a brackish lake in Japan.We performed eDNA anal. of these two submerged macrophytes using monthly water samples collected from 2016 to 2022.This allowed us to estimate annual fluctuations and seasonal patterns in biomass based on eDNA concentrations of both species.Addnl., it was suggested-and these results were consistent with the trends of field observations-that the biomass of S. pectinata has recently increased relative to that of P. pusillus.In analyzing the relationships between eDNA concentrations and five water parameters (water temperature, pH, elec. conductivity (EC), nitrate ion concentration (NO-3), and salinity) in Lake Shinji, we found that P. pusillus eDNA was pos. correlated with water temperature and neg. correlated with salinity.No such relationship was observed for S. pectinata.Given that S. pectinata has a higher tolerance to salinity than P. pusillus, the recent increase in salinity of Lake Shinji may have led to a shift from P. pusillus to S. pectinata as dominant species.To our knowledge, this is the first study to use long-term eDNA monitoring to evaluate the biomass of submerged macrophytes in a lake and to explore the underlying causes.